Category Archives: Politics

Politics Author: - November 5, 2017

The Day after ISIS

One of the most pertinent questions today is what can be expected after the fall of ISIS. The end of the group does not mean an end to the phenomenon, extremism and the roots of discontent that drive it are still flourishing. These are the issues that …

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Politics Author: - October 15, 2017

The needed role of “National bourgeoisie”

In countries where social and economic development programs have stalled, it is imperative to find new policies and programs to improve the lives of citizens. While this kind of development is the responsibility of the state, it should not be limited to government and public policy

In Jordan, the economic hardship, lack of effective socioeconomic development and subsequent unemployment, poverty and radicalization should encourage other citizens who are better off to take a direct role in addressing these growing threats.

The potential role a “national bourgeoisie” could play in such critical times cannot be underestimated. Efforts to plug the gaps, or even make up for an absence of clear public policy to provide solutions for serious social problems are needed, especially given the declining aid and development programs in Jordan from allies and Western countries.

A national bourgeoisie could promote and launch cultural and economic development projects in order to balance the failure of other socio-economic processes. There is a national responsibility for those who are able to intervene in a society that is missing a comprehensive vision of development, and needs pragmatism and action

Jordan is not merely Amman, or even West Amman. The centralized model that concentrates on one single part of a country is creating considerable issues. The clear signs of failed development, lack of microeconomic reforms and declining economic opportunities, a growing number of citizens are being marginalized. Creating opportunities and addressing the failures could change the future of an entire generation.

Current and previous governments in Jordan are not necessarily to blame as they lack the resources to implement comprehensive development across the country. There is a clear need for new protagonists who have the means and belief that all efforts, no matter how small can make a difference and improve the future of this country and its citizens.

A Jordanian national bourgeoisie should aspire to play this role for our nation, as it is critically needed. In addition to economic development, it will build social solidarity and a connection between our citizens, a bond that is also required in order to face the challenges of today and into the future. A rising tide raises all boats, but by the same token a falling tide brings us all down. We bear the risks of the future together, and so we should all put effort in to create the best future we can think of.

Dr. Amer AL Sabaileh

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Politics Author: - September 17, 2017

Russia in the Middle East

Over the last few years, the Middle East has started to witness the presence of new political protagonists, Russia as a very strong evident player, Germany a strong but latent player, and China as a strong economic power.

Russia has played a role in most of the major issues in the Middle East. Since their entry into the Syrian crisis, we have seen analysts incorrectly predicting Russia’s next move through an apparent misinterpretation of their motives.

Many reported that Russia’s support of Syria was limited and unreliable. And yet, Syria has been the key to Russia’s successful engagement in the region and over recent years has proven reliable to its allies. Now, as Russia has become central to everything from regional security to the peace process, we must change our approach and recognize their influence and importance.

Russian diplomacy has been key to creating the potential for an end to the Syrian crisis. Critical to the shift in the Syria situation is changes in position from Turkey, US, Jordan and Saudi Arabia. It was Russian diplomacy that positioned each of these countries to shift.

There is now a unified effort to fight terrorism, and it is this unity that is opening political channels and building alliance. Given the success in Syria, Russia’s influence in the region is spreading. Russia is now allied to both Israel and Syria. Logically that positions them very well as a mediator. This could lead to greater support from countries like Jordan, Egypt and the Palestinian authority to play a similar role in the Peace Process, as Russia creates a political equilibrium while the White House instinctively backs Israel.

Russia also has long standing good relations with Iran as well as positive and growing engagement with the Gulf Countries. These could very well position Russia for a central role in reconciling the issues around Yemen and potentially even Qatar. We have even seen Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov visit Gulf countries several times lately, suggesting that while Syria might be Moscow’s priority at the moment, it is taking the opportunity to broaden friendships and position for continued importance down the track.

Regional geopolitics are fluid and dynamic, with new protagonists and shifting alliances. Russia’s presence and influence in the region is unlikely to remain limited to Syria, but rather the beginning of a long-term presence and power in the region.

Dr Amer Al Sabaileh

amersabaileh@yahoo.com

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